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The 2022-23 college football bowl schedule is set and there are some incredibly high-profile matchups on the docket over the next month. It will be a burnt orange crowd when the No. 20 Texas Longhorns take on the No. 12 Washington Huskies in the 2022 Valero Alamo Bowl at the Alamodome in San Antonio on Dec. 29. And the Longhorns are 6-point favorites in the latest college football bowl odds from Caesars Sportsbook despite Washington closing its season with six consecutive wins in the Pac-12.
Kalen DeBoer turned Washington into one of the nation’s most prolific offenses in his first season and Texas had some well-documented defensive issues during Big 12 play. So is Washington over Texas an upset you can rely on as you make your college football bowl confidence picks? If you want to win your college football bowl confidence pools, analyzing the matchups and finding a few underdogs is critical. Before making any college football predictions for bowl season, don’t miss the bowl confidence pool picks from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now it has simulated each matchup on the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence rating to each game. You can only see all the college football bowl picks over at SportsLine.
Top college football bowl confidence predictions
One of the top 2022-23 college football bowl confidence picks from the model: Ole Miss cruises past Texas Tech in the 2022 Texas Bowl on Dec. 28 at 9 p.m. ET. This sets up pretty well for a split crowd at NRG Stadium with Houston sitting roughly halfway between the two campuses and these two teams could produce a lot of offense given recent trends.
Ole Miss averaged 491.3 yards of offense per game this season while Texas Tech piled up 459.5 yards of total offense per game in Joey McGuire’s first season at the helm. However, Ole Miss has the far superior running game between the two schools and Lane Kiffin’s combination of Quinshon Judkins and Zach Evans should help control the line of scrimmage in this SEC vs. Big 12 matchup.
The model is predicting over 100 yards and a touchdown for Judkins while Evans produces another 70 yards on the ground. Ole Miss as a team rushes for nearly 275 yards on average and puts up well over 500 yards of total offense to win outright in over 70% of the model’s simulations.
Another one of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: No. 17 LSU handles Purdue in the Citrus Bowl on Jan. 2 at 1 p.m. ET. Brian Kelly exceeded expectations by winning the SEC West in Year One and he’ll want to cap off a successful season by getting to 10 wins. And Purdue will be coming into the bowl game with a major distraction looming having lost head coach Jeff Brohm to Louisville last Wednesday.
Some losses to the transfer portal certainly seem inevitable for the program as it transitions to new head coach Ryan Walters. To make matter worse, Purdue allowed 287.2 yards per game through the air this season and LSU just put up 502 yards through the air against Georgia’s top-ranked defense. That’s why the model is predicting an LSU win with a high level of confidence, as the Tigers win outright in nearly 70% of simulations.
How to make college football bowl confidence picks
The model has also made the call on who wins every other bowl game. There are 17 teams that win at least 65% of the time, so you need to go big on those matchups, as well as multiple underdogs that win outright. You can get all the model’s picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins every college football bowl game? And which matchups should you assign the most confidence points to? Visit SportsLine to see the full college football bowl confidence picks, all from the model that is up almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football spread picks over the past six-plus season, and find out.
2022-23 college football bowl schedule (all times ET)
Friday, Dec. 16
Bahamas Bowl: Miami (Ohio) vs. UAB, 11:30 a.m.
Cure Bowl: No. 24 Troy vs. No. 25 UTSA, 3 p.m.
Saturday, Dec. 17
Fenway Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Louisville, 11 a.m.
Celebration Bowl Jackson State vs. N.C. Central, noon
Las Vegas Bowl: No. 14 Oregon State vs. Florida, 2:30 p.m.
LA Bowl: Washington State vs. Fresno State, 3:30 p.m.
LendingTree Bowl: Rice vs. Southern Mississippi, 5:45 p.m. ET
New Mexico Bowl: SMU vs. BYU, 7:30 p.m.
Frisco Bowl: Boise State vs. North Texas, 9:15 p.m.
Monday, Dec. 19
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Marshall vs. UConn, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday, Dec. 20
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Eastern Michigan vs. San Jose State, 3:30 p.m.
Boca Raton Bowl: Liberty vs. Toledo, 7:30 p.m.
Wednesday, Dec. 21
New Orleans Bowl: South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky, 9 p.m.
Thursday, Dec. 22
Armed Forces Bowl: Baylor vs. Air Force, 7:30 p.m.
Friday, Dec. 23
Independence Bowl: Houston vs. Louisiana, 3 p.m.
Gasparilla Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Missouri, 6:30 p.m.
Saturday, Dec. 24
Hawai’i Bowl: Middle Tennessee State vs. San Diego State, 8 p.m.
Monday, Dec. 26
Quick Lane Bowl: Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday, Dec. 27
Camellia Bowl: Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern, noon
First Responder Bowl: Memphis vs. Utah State, 3:15 p.m.
Birmingham Bowl: Coastal Carolina vs. East Carolina, 6:45 p.m.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin, 10:15 p.m.
Wednesday, Dec. 28
Military Bowl: Duke vs. UCF, 2 p.m.
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas vs. Kansas, 5:30 p.m.
Holiday Bowl: No. 15 Oregon vs. North Carolina, 8 p.m.
Texas Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss, 9 p.m.
Thursday, Dec. 29
Pinstripe Bowl: Minnesota vs. Syracuse, 2 p.m.
Cheez-It Bowl, No. 13 Florida State vs. Oklahoma, 5:30 p.m.
Alamo Bowl: No. 12 Washington vs. No. 20 Texas, 9 p.m.
Friday, Dec. 30
Duke’s Mayo Bowl: No. 23 NC State vs. Maryland, noon
Sun Bowl: No. 18 UCLA vs. Pitt, 2 p.m. ET
Gator Bowl: No. 19 South Carolina vs. No. 21 Notre Dame, 3:30 p.m.
Arizona Bowl: Ohio vs. Wyoming, 4:30 p.m.
Orange Bowl: No. 6 Tennessee vs. No. 7 Clemson, 8 p.m.
Saturday, Dec. 31
Music City Bowl: Iowa vs. Kentucky, noon
Sugar Bowl: No. 5 Alabama vs. No. 9 Kansas State, noon
Fiesta Bowl (CFP semifinal): No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU, 4 p.m.
Peach Bowl (CFP semifinal semifinal): No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State, 8 p.m.
Monday, Jan. 2
ReliaQuest Bowl: No. 22 Mississippi State vs. Illinois, noon
Citrus Bowl: No. 17 LSU vs. Purdue, 1 p.m.
Cotton Bowl Classic: No. 10 USC vs. No. 16 Tulane, 1 p.m.
Rose Bowl: No. 8 Utah vs. No. 11 Penn State, 5 p.m.
Monday, Jan. 9
College Football Playoff National Championship Game, 7:30 p.m. (winner of Georgia-Ohio State vs. winner of Michigan-TCU)
